In a Sense, It’s All About Tribal Conformity

  • Today’s deep thought about religion and conformity;
  • How US scientists have withdrawn their names from a scientific paper about evolution, for fear of reprisal — one of them coincidentally mentioned in a piece posted yesterday;
  • Short items about Trump’s lapel pins, how colleges are being forced to rewrite history, how sending education back to the states doesn’t include DEI options, how some Republicans think elections are so inconvenient, Trump’s misunderstanding of trade deficits, how Trump displaces more than he projects, Arthur C. Brooks about challenging DARVO; and Jonathan Chait on how MAGA supporters take Trump’s infallibility as a given.
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Today’s deep thought: religion isn’t about faith; it’s about conformity.

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This piece is quite a coincidence, aside from it being politically pertinent.

Washington Post, Mark Johnson, 10 Apr 2025: Fearing paper on evolution might get them deported, scientists withdrew it, subtitled “President Donald Trump’s orders haven’t targeted research involving evolution, but the authors’ unease about publishing reflects uncertainty in the science world.”

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Daughter of Dispatches from Reality

Two pieces today: about the complexity of the universe, and the current cosmological crisis.

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Quanta is one of those magazine/websites that, like Big Think and Nautilus and perhaps Noema and no doubt others, cover general concepts in current science rather than specific science news.

Here’s an essay at Quanta that summarizes a growing understanding, since at least the 1990s, that the universe has become more complex automatically, so to speak. We’ve seen this in books by Carroll and Hidalgo and others; complexity, the growth of ‘information,’ apparently in defiance of the second law of thermodynamics, does not need explaining; it happens through the evolutionary growth of increasingly complex systems (and the entropy borrowed will be paid back eventually). And we’ve seen this in topics of complexity and emergence.

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Dan Ariely, MISBELIEF

Subtitled “What Makes Rational People Believe Irrational Things”
(Harper, September 2023, 311pp, including 21pp of acknowledgements, references, and index.)

Here’s the latest book by Dan Ariely, author of one of the earliest books I read about psychological biases and human irrationality, PREDICTABLY IRRATIONAL, published back in 2008 (review here). Since then he’s become a minor celebrity with a TV show, The Irrational, based on his life and that book. (I’ve only seen it a couple times, despite its just finishing its second season; it’s not on at a convenient time.)

So how is this new book different from the older one? Continue reading

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Is There a Big Picture to Make Sense of All This?

  • Adam Lee on our current age of “stupidity” and whether or not the stupid can bring down society;
  • The commentariat: Catherine Rampell on the naked Trump; Robert Reich on Trump’s “national emergencies”; Paul Krugman on Trump’s war on American greatness;
  • Short items: JD Vance and Chinese “peasants”; censoring black history; Elon Musk calls out Peter Navarro; Vance perpetuates a discredited claim about Social Security fraud; Trump defies a law meant to rein in his first-term abuses; and how Republicans want to fool you into thinking tax cuts are free.
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Here’s a piece that might provide one. A big picture.

OnlySky, Adam Lee, 7 Apr 2025: The coming dark age of stupidity, subtitled “The future is not so bright.”

He begins by setting the stage.
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How Trump and MAGA illustrate Fundamental Principles

  • How my posts about current politics, including Trump and Musk, are about illustrating fundamental principles;
  • Trump simply doesn’t understand trade;
  • David Brooks on how conservatives have changed;
  • A Christian law-maker who thinks “critical thinking” includes teaching about God;
  • Short items about cherry-picking the Bible to justify tariffs; how an expert on tariffs claims Trump got his research all wrong; how DOGE has defunded a program to boost American manufacturing; how Trump channels Lee Iacocca; and how a MAGA prophetess claims everything bad is because of Satan.
  • Music: Sibelius #1
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Virtually all of the items I post here are meant to illustrate some of the fundamental principles, or provisional conclusions, that I’ve developed over the past decade. And one of the most fundamental is this idea of a range of human perception and understanding: that some people simply aren’t very bright and/or cling to a tribal mindset, while other people can take long-term consequences into account, and appreciate a broader cosmopolitan or species perspective, and/or are smart enough to perceive the world in other than the black and white terms and/or short-term thinking. And how this has consequences as explored in science fiction, because short-term, tribal, dim-witted thinking will doom the species, as problems like climate change occur that cannot be solved without global cooperation. The oligarchs will milk the system, denying or ignoring long-term consequences, as long as they think they can get away with it until the world burns (after they die), perhaps literally. Their followers will repeat their religious reassurances back and forth amongst themselves, because that’s what their ancestors have always done, and they survived! Humans are not good at understanding change, or perceiving long-term consequences.

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About Yesterday’s Protests

  • Against Trump and Musk;
  • Anti-DEI is whitewashing the history of the Underground Railroad;
  • Jill Lepore on Elon Musk and his retro ideas;
  • A Vox piece about astrology that panders to believers;
  • And about Brandolini’s Law, in which debunking misinformation takes an order of magnitude longer than creating it in the first place.
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The major political news today is about the protests staged yesterday against Trump and Musk, in all 50 states. Here’s a set of 29 photos of them.

The Atlantic, Alan Taylor, 6 Apr 2025: Photos: Nationwide Protests Against Trump and Musk
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How Long Can Humans Live in Fantasy Worlds Before Reality Kicks In and Fights Back?

  • Mike Lofgren on the nonsensical cult that now rules America;
  • Peter Wehner on how Trump is gaslighting us;
  • Rachel Maddow points out how Peter Navarro’s go-to expert is fake;
  • And about critical thinking;
  • Two short items about how insurers are among those alert to the effects of climate change, and how foreign tourists are now avoiding visits to the US.
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Visiting one of my running themes. Humans are good at creating imaginary worlds and living in them for centuries, as long at their beliefs don’t actually violate reality. But eventually they will.

Salon, Mike Lofgren, 5 Apr 2025: Goose-steppers in the name of freedom: The nonsensical cult that now rules America, subtitled “Trump’s followers have embraced so many absurd, illogical contradictions they have no way back to reality. Do we?”

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Unstable Moron, and His Fans

  • Heather Cox Richardson on reactions to Trump’s tariffs, including Canada’s reaction and how Republicans hope this will somehow all work out;
  • Jonathan Chait on how Trump has already botched his plan by suggested he might negotiate;
  • Aside about my motivation for posting all this stuff;
  • Another item about the crazy math behind those tariffs;
  • How the GOP has an Orwellian solution to pay for Trump’s tax cuts;
  • And how a right-wing conspiracy theorist seems to be dictated Trump’s NSA decisions.
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Heather’s Perspective

Letters from an American, Heather Cox Richardson: April 3, 2025

She begins with Trump’s full-caps pronouncement about the “operation” being over, and so on. Then summarizes the market reactions. Then this:
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“Liberation Day”

  • Trump’s “Liberation Day” of tariffs for virtually every country around the world — except for Russia! — might well wreck both America’s, and the world’s, economy;
  • With Paul Krugman’s expose of their “formula”;
  • A reminder from Robert Reich, from 2018, about how Trump is dumb in virtually everything except for political conning;
  • Daily Kos about that formula;
  • I recall some comments from Facebook, about a new Canadian alliance and the idea of conservation, while the MAGA crowd is not conversing, they’re tearing everything down;
  • And how Trump’s tariffs target uninhabited islands, and Lesotho.
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The MAGA cultists and their elected idiot-in-chief are wrecking the nation, and maybe the world. Basically it boils down to: the world is changing, and conservative tribalists want to change it back, and will wreck the nation if they can’t. And they call it “Liberation Day.”

NY Times, 3 Apr 2025: Live Updates: Tariffs Send Wall Street Tumbling to Worst Day Since Pandemic
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This is how these things happen

  • NYT’s M. Gessen on how the police state has arrived;
  • A WaPo reporter goes looking for the “corrosive ideology” Trump thinks is in the Smithsonian;
  • The next Project 2025 goal is to restore the ideal heterosexual family, and diminish everyone else;
  • CDC is ordered *not* to release a measles report; Josh Hawley too is obsessed by “spiritual oppression”; what Trump’s “liberation” actually means; how our era echoes McCarthyism; and how moving fast and breaking things is about knowing their time is limited.
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Even if most people don’t notice in their daily lives.

NY Times, M. Gessen, 2 Apr 2025: Unmarked Vans. Secret Lists. Public Denunciations. Our Police State Has Arrived. [gift link]
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