About Yesterday’s Protests

  • Against Trump and Musk;
  • Anti-DEI is whitewashing the history of the Underground Railroad;
  • Jill Lepore on Elon Musk and his retro ideas;
  • A Vox piece about astrology that panders to believers;
  • And about Brandolini’s Law, in which debunking misinformation takes an order of magnitude longer than creating it in the first place.
– – –

The major political news today is about the protests staged yesterday against Trump and Musk, in all 50 states. Here’s a set of 29 photos of them.

The Atlantic, Alan Taylor, 6 Apr 2025: Photos: Nationwide Protests Against Trump and Musk

Yesterday, more than 1,200 demonstrations were held across the country, described by organizers as a “National Day of Action,” against the policies and actions of President Donald Trump and Elon Musk. Thousands took part in these “Hands Off!” protests, gathering and marching in small towns, big cities, and state capitols. Gathered below are images from some of the demonstrations in Massachusetts, Georgia, California, Florida, Colorado, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Arizona, Washington, D.C., and more.

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Otherwise, there’s the steady flow of more-or-less outrageous moves by the current administration to dismantle the government and to erase history.

Washington Post, 6 Apr 2025: Amid anti-DEI push, National Park Service rewrites history of Underground Railroad, subtitled “Since Trump took office, the park service —- an agency charged with preserving American history —- has changed how its website describes key moments from slavery to Jim Crow.”

…a Washington Post review of websites operated by the National Park Service — among the key agencies charged with the preservation of American history — found that edits on dozens of pages since Trump’s inauguration have already softened descriptions of some of the most shameful moments of the nation’s past.

Some were edited to remove references to slavery. On other pages, statements on the historic struggle of Black Americans for their rights were cut or softened, as were references to present-day echoes of racial division. The Post compared webpages as of late March to earlier versions preserved online by the Internet Archive’s Wayback Machine.

Changes in images, descriptions and even individual words have subtly reshaped the meaning of notable moments and key figures dating to the nation’s founding — abolitionist John Brown’s doomed raid, the battle at Appomattox and school integration by the Little Rock Nine.

I goes on at some length. Specific examples:

A reference to other “enslaved African Americans” in that region was changed to “enslaved workers.”

Proclamations that the students “opened doors” for others pursuing “equality and education around the world” were edited on at least six pages to remove the word “equality.”

The general theme of efforts like these to soften history is to avoid saying anything that would discomfort whites. To discomfort whites by reminding them of what their ancestors did would be “divisive.”

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Jill Lepore.

NY Times, Jill Lepore, 4 Apr 2025: The Failed Ideas That Drive Elon Musk

The theme here is:

Mr. Musk has long presented himself to the world as a futurist. Yet, notwithstanding the gadgets [ … ] few figures in public life are more shackled to the past.

Lepore sees US history much as Heather Cox Richardson does, and reflects on a key turning point.

In 1932, when civilization stood at another fork in the road, the United States chose liberal democracy, and Franklin Roosevelt, who promised “a new deal for the American people.” In his first 100 days, Mr. Roosevelt. signed 99 executive orders, and Congress passed more than 75 laws, beginning the work of rebuilding the country by establishing a series of government agencies to regulate the economy, provide jobs, aid the poor and construct public works.

Mr. Musk is attempting to go back to that fork and choose a different path.

Thus,

Much of what he has sought to dismantle, from antipoverty programs to national parks, have their origins in the New Deal. Mr. Roosevelt’s Works Progress Administration provided 8.5 million Americans with jobs; Mr. Musk has measured his achievement by the number of jobs he has eliminated.

And then explores Musks’ grandfather Joshua Haldeman:

a cowboy, chiropractor, conspiracy theorist and amateur aviator known as the Flying Haldeman. Mr. Musk’s grandfather was also a flamboyant leader of the political movement known as technocracy.

Leading technocrats proposed replacing democratically elected officials and civil servants — indeed, all of government — with an army of scientists and engineers under what they called a technate. Some also wanted to annex Canada and Mexico. At technocracy’s height, one branch of the movement had more than a quarter of a million members.

Under the technate, humans would no longer have names; they would have numbers. One technocrat went by 1x1809x56. (Mr. Musk has a son named X Æ A-12.) Mr. Haldeman, who had lost his Saskatchewan farm during the Depression, became the movement’s leader in Canada. He was technocrat No. 10450-1.

And:

Technocrats argued that liberal democracy had failed. One Technocracy Incorporated pamphlet explained how the movement “does not subscribe to the basic tenet of the democratic ideal, namely that all men are created free and equal.” In the modern world, only scientists and engineers have the intelligence and education to understand the industrial operations that lie at the heart of the economy. Mr. Scott’s army of technocrats would eliminate most government services: “Even our postal system, our highways, our Coast Guard could be made much more efficient.” Overlapping agencies could be shuttered, and “90 percent of the courts could be abolished.”

Some fascinating history I was unaware of. Technocracy failed because democracy succeeded, Lepore explains. She goes on to consider Marc Andreessen’s “Techno-Optimist Manifesto” of statements:

We can advance to a far superior way of living and of being.
We have the tools, the systems, the ideas.
We have the will. …
We believe this is why our descendants will live in the stars. …
We believe in greatness. …
We believe in ambition, aggression, persistence, relentlessness — strength.

This sounds like a lot of science-fictional visions, but also like fascism.

Muskism isn’t the beginning of the future. It’s the end of a story that started more than a century ago, in the conflict between capital and labor and between autocracy and democracy. The Gilded Age of robber barons and wage-labor strikes gave rise to the Bolshevik Revolution, Communism, the first Red Scare, World War I and Fascism. That battle of ideas produced the technocracy movement, and far more lastingly, it also produced the New Deal and modern American liberalism. Technocracy lost because technocracy is incompatible with freedom.

There’s also the problem identified in that book The Misinformation Age (review here) in which complex technological issues are voted, if indirectly, by a general population that doesn’t know what they’re talking about. How would we solve this problem without instituting a technocracy, or a fascist government? I’ve long thought that some basic literacy test (in science, technology, and civics principally) might be required to be able to vote, but of course that raises all sorts of additional problems. (Once again, I think of those Facebook/TikTok videos of people on the street who cannot answer the question of what continent they’re standing on.) I don’t have even a provisional conclusion about this.

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A perennial issue. That this is nonsense was obvious to me once I considered it at age 12 or 13 — having already the learned the basics of of astronomy — and Carl Sagan was patient enough to explain why it’s nonsense in his book and TV series Cosmos back in 1980. (See my review here, under chapter 3.)

My answer: because most people are not well-educated, and many people prefer simple answers. But let’s see what the article says.

Vox, Alex Abad-Santos, 4 Apr 2025: Why are so many people into astrology?, subtitled “Astrology’s enormous appeal, explained for believers and skeptics.”

This relates directly to the previous item, of course.

The simple answer might be that people around the world find validation and self-reflection in astrology. The idea that the stars and planets can affect our personal lives and shape who we are as people may never convince its harshest skeptics, but for many it makes as much sense as anything else our confusing, frustrating, thrilling, comedic existence has to offer.

It goes on with minutia about sun signs and whatnot.

The gist: All of these things ideally help us tell a bigger story about the person we think we are, the person we were, and the person we aspire to be.

But this piece thinks skepticism about astrology is somehow perverse; it gives no time to any actual scientific reasons why astrology is nonsense, the way Sagan did.

“A skeptic saying, ‘I don’t believe in astrology,’ is like someone saying, ‘I don’t believe in maps,’ or, ‘I don’t believe in instruction manuals.’ Whether or not you choose to engage with it means nothing,” Register says. “You can go through life just fine without maps or instruction manuals and figure it all out yourself, but those tools can make things way easier on you.”

No. That’s nonsense. Maps and instruction manuals have direct correspondence with the real world. Astrology does not.

Big picture: this is part of primitive, tribal thinking, in which perceived patterns are taken as more important than pesky evidence about how the real world actually works. It comforts people, and that’s the best thing that can be said about it. And at worst, it deludes people into thinking they have some understanding, or even control, of a world they don’t understand. That will not end well.

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One more. Via some post on Facebook, here’s the idea of Brandolini’s law. This is the image I saw on Facebook:

Here’s Wikipedia: Brandolini’s law

Brandolini’s law (or the bullshit asymmetry principle) is an internet adage coined in 2013 by Italian programmer Alberto Brandolini. It compares the considerable effort of debunking misinformation to the relative ease of creating it in the first place. The law states:

The amount of energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than that needed to produce it.

The rise of easy popularization of ideas through the internet has greatly increased the relevant examples, but the asymmetry principle itself has long been recognized.

Yet again, this circles back to primitive thinking. It’s easier to believe simple, intuitive things, than to take the time to understand why intuitive things are not true. The obvious examples are left as an exercise for the reader.

This law is analogous to the truism that it’s easier to destroy, than the build. The current administration is bent on destroying what past generations have built.

Posted in Politics, Psychology | Comments Off on About Yesterday’s Protests

How Long Can Humans Live in Fantasy Worlds Before Reality Kicks In and Fights Back?

  • Mike Lofgren on the nonsensical cult that now rules America;
  • Peter Wehner on how Trump is gaslighting us;
  • Rachel Maddow points out how Peter Navarro’s go-to expert is fake;
  • And about critical thinking;
  • Two short items about how insurers are among those alert to the effects of climate change, and how foreign tourists are now avoiding visits to the US.
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Visiting one of my running themes. Humans are good at creating imaginary worlds and living in them for centuries, as long at their beliefs don’t actually violate reality. But eventually they will.

Salon, Mike Lofgren, 5 Apr 2025: Goose-steppers in the name of freedom: The nonsensical cult that now rules America, subtitled “Trump’s followers have embraced so many absurd, illogical contradictions they have no way back to reality. Do we?”

Long piece. He begins with the essence of cognitive dissonance.

Credo quia absurdum: “I believe because it is absurd.” This is the common paraphrase of an argument by Tertullian, an early church father. It has been repeated through the centuries in various forms by religious apologists, and exemplifies a thought-terminating cliché: an idea that is ridiculous on its face, but stated in such a boldly counterintuitive and in-your-face manner that arguing against the proposition is futile.

It may be an exaggeration, but hardly an extreme one, to say that virtually all religions, ideologies, worldviews and self-help philosophies are by definition absurd, containing every kind of unprovable axiom, self-contradictory tenet, illogicality and appeal to blind faith. They only gain a semblance of self-evident truth through age and familiarity, as the legend of John Frum illustrates.

He goes on with the familiar story of John Frum and the cargo cults. Then:

A belief system that may have the highest proportion of logical inconsistencies, irrational dogma, failed prophecies and broken promises of all major worldviews is one now on the upswing in the Western world. Why it should do so now, in a manner similar to the witch delusions that periodically swept medieval Europe or the Dutch tulip mania, has been much debated. Why it should infect nations that are prosperous, ostensibly well educated, and with civil societies that have supposedly developed beyond tribal superstition is a mystery that has never been explained.

I am referring to extreme right-wing or fascist ideology, which for all its local varieties has a common core of beliefs or, more accurately, attitudes and poses. In the multiparty systems of Europe, it is usually represented by recently created parties to the right of traditional conservative parties. In the U.S. two-party system, it has swallowed one of the two existing parties, usurping the role of conservatism and exploiting traditional party loyalties.

What are the properties of conservative ideology under Trump, and how is it that their logical inconsistencies and self-contradictions make them not less, but more attractive to American conservatism’s followers?

First I’ll list his properties.

Exaggerated but brittle nationalism

Populism: Instrument of rule by billionaires

Competence and the reality principle

Freedom and the Führerprinzip</>

The “culture of life” — and the death instinct

The sleep of reason breeds monsters

His analyses examine the contradictions or paradoxes in each of these themes. I’ll quote some from the third.

In the 1960s, the waning days of America’s liberal reform movement, Republicans presented themselves as the flinty-eyed bearers of realism. Medicare, then a brand-new program, was simply unaffordable. Urban violence was presented as proof that antipoverty programs didn’t work. Erstwhile liberals like Daniel Patrick Moynihan began flirting with conservatism, in his case proclaiming that the best antipoverty project for Black urban residents would be the government’s “benign neglect.”

[…]

Over time, the constant repetition of these themes (embraced even by Democrats like Hart, Tsongas and Bill Clinton) achieved a kind of cultural hegemony affecting popular thinking. For decades, Americans have consistently believed that Republicans are better on the economy than Democrats.

Republican performance in office is a different matter. Multiple sources make clear that economic growth has been substantially better under Democratic presidents than their Republican counterparts. The New York Times estimated in 2021 that since 1933, average yearly GDP growth was 4.6 percent under Democratic administrations and 2.4 percent under Republicans. Are the American people blind to these facts? Apparently so.

Far from operating according to the reality principle, Republican economics, like so many of their positions, is based on magical thinking. Their stridently held belief that tax cuts produce more revenue, a notion dating from the late 1970s, should have been a tipoff: By that reasoning, reducing taxes to zero should produce infinite revenue. But teaching math never was the strong suit of the American educational system. Nor, apparently, was elementary logic: How many people voted for Trump believing that foreign companies, rather than they themselves, would pay the tariffs on imports?

Near the end:

Very well, people are irrational. But what will happen when Trump’s policies really begin to bite? I have discussed this with several political pundits who say that when Grandma’s Social Security check fails to arrive, or when the Iraq vet finds the VA clinic closed, or when Bubba in Pascagoula is sitting in the wreckage of his house with no FEMA on site, a time of reckoning will arrive.

Possibly, but I wouldn’t bet on it. A Trump voter whose newly-married wife was detained as an undocumented immigrant says he still doesn’t regret his vote. Farmers were hammered by retaliatory tariffs during Trump’s first term as badly as the rest of us will be damaged in his second; farm bankruptcies soared, as did Farm Belt suicides. That did not prevent farmers from voting overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020 and 2024.

Facts are stubborn things, but so are faith and illusion.

… People, or too many of them, will still believe in the very illusions that caused their world to collapse in ruins about them. They believe because it is absurd.

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And this.

The Atlantic, Peter Wehner, 5 Apr 2025: Trump Is Gaslighting Us, subtitled “Trump is an agent of chaos, and chaos has a human cost.”

Beginning with the size of his inaugural crowd, to most recently his calumny against The Atlantic magazine and its editor, Jeffrey Goldberg.

Goldberg reported on the reckless and devastating breach of national security. But rather than acknowledging the mistake and promising to address it, the Trump administration reflexively followed its standard approach: attack. Smear. Prevaricate.

“He is, as you know, is a sleazebag, but at the highest level,” Trump said of Goldberg. “His magazine is failing.” Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, who shared the most sensitive information on the group chat, wrapped his attack on Goldberg in layers of lies: “You’re talking about a deceitful and highly discredited so-called journalist who’s made a profession of peddling hoaxes time and time again.” He added, “Nobody was texting war plans.” Karoline Leavitt, the White House press secretary, said on social media, “This entire story was another hoax written by a Trump-hater who is well-known for his sensationalist spin.” One high-level person after another insisted that the story was much ado about nothing. The information that had been shared, they assured us, was nothing that was dangerous to disclose.

Except that it was.

And recalling the film Gaslight, from 1944, and its theme, for anyone who has not heard about them after all this time. And concludes:

I’ve long wondered how long it will take Americans to stop tolerating the unrelenting conflict and antipathy, which divides not just citizens but also families, that is endemic to life in the Trump era. The answer may be that they will stop tolerating it at the point when the quality of their life is degraded, when preventable diseases spread, when car prices and egg prices skyrocket, when 401(k) accounts start losing significant value.

At that point, Trump-style nihilism may lose its appeal; his disinformation campaign may begin to blow apart, and people may be reminded that living in truth is better than living within lies.

The drama has a long way to go, but the whirligig of time brings in his revenges.

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Apparently this was exposed years ago, but here is Rachel Maddow pointing it out again.

JMG, 5 Apr 2025: Maddow: Tariffs Plan Began With Navarro’s Fake Expert

“You’d think it would take like a grand plan and some big brains to figure out how to destroy the economy of the richest nation on Earth, but that’s not how it’s working out. Turns out, it doesn’t take a big idea or a lot of big brains working together. In all of his books, Peter Navarro has cited an economics expert to justify his views, and the economics expert he cites is somebody named Ron Vara.

“The problem is, Ron Vara doesn’t exist, he never has. The economics expert that Peter Navarro has long cited to explain why he’s so gung-ho on tariffs, this person, Ron Vara, is a made-up person. He is a fictional person. Peter Navarro invented Ron Vara as his expert source, so he could quote this expert source over and over and over again in his crackpot books.

“Ron Vara is an anagram of Navarro, which is his last name.”

Navarro was exposed for inventing “Ron Vara” by the New York Times in 2019. As recounted by Maddow, Navarro first came to Trump’s attention when Jared Kushner searched Amazon for books that would support Trump economic policies and came across one of Navarro’s books.

To be pedantic, searching for books to support a preconceived position is the essence of motivated reasoning.

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Another familiar idea — a fundamental idea. To maintain fantasy worlds and gaslighting, you have to prevent children from understanding the legacy of Western civilization, from the Greeks through the Enlightenment onward, about how to think.

LGBTQNation, Dr. Warren J. Blumenfeld, 5 Apr 2025: Critical thinking is the key to education. Donald Trump wants to destroy it., subtitled “That type of thought could jeopardize the status quo and, therefore, authoritarian power and control.”

The Trump administration has assaulted the entire institution of education in its attempt to silence dissent against its tyrannical MAGA agenda.

… Authoritarian regimes throughout time have attempted to restrict not only the free stream of information, but more importantly, have used every imaginable means of preventing the enhancement of critical thinking skills among the populous, since that type of thought could jeopardize the status quo and, therefore, authoritarian power and control.

The piece goes on with the author’s “life in social justice education.” Fascinating.

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Two short items.

Click image for enormous view.

The Guardian, Damian Carrington, 3 Apr 2025: Climate crisis on track to destroy capitalism, warns top insurer, subtitled “Action urgently needed to save the conditions under which markets – and civilisation itself – can operate, says senior Allianz figure”

The people who stand to lose money from the effects of climate change are the ones paying attention, despite any amount of denial from those who would lose money by taking ameliorative actions against climate change. One of these sides will win.

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The Atlantic, Juliette Kayyem, 5 Apr 2025: Foreign Tourists Are Taking Trump at His Word, subtitled “Deliberately insulting other countries is bad for the U.S. economy.”

And there are various news stories about how tourist flights from other countries, especially Canada, are significantly down this season, compared to last. The US has become a pariah.

Posted in Conservative Resistance, Lunacy, Psychology | Comments Off on How Long Can Humans Live in Fantasy Worlds Before Reality Kicks In and Fights Back?

Unstable Moron, and His Fans

  • Heather Cox Richardson on reactions to Trump’s tariffs, including Canada’s reaction and how Republicans hope this will somehow all work out;
  • Jonathan Chait on how Trump has already botched his plan by suggested he might negotiate;
  • Aside about my motivation for posting all this stuff;
  • Another item about the crazy math behind those tariffs;
  • How the GOP has an Orwellian solution to pay for Trump’s tax cuts;
  • And how a right-wing conspiracy theorist seems to be dictated Trump’s NSA decisions.
– – –

Heather’s Perspective

Letters from an American, Heather Cox Richardson: April 3, 2025

She begins with Trump’s full-caps pronouncement about the “operation” being over, and so on. Then summarizes the market reactions. Then this:

Today, former treasury secretary Lawrence Summers posted: “It’s now clear that the [Trump] Administration computed reciprocal tariffs without using tariff data. This is to economics what creationism is to biology, astrology is to astronomy, or RFK thought is to vaccine science. The Trump tariff policy makes little sense EVEN if you believe in protectionist mercantilist economics.”

Recall that Nancy Reagan had, and followed the advice of, an astrologer.

Another reaction:

Editor of The American Prospect David Dayen … writes that Trump’s tariffs are essentially sanctions on the rest of the world. His behavior is, Dayen says, “no different from a mob boss moving into town and sending his thugs to every business on Main Street, roughing up the proprietors and asking for protection money so they don’t get pushed out of business.”

Some historical perspective:

Trump is overturning the past 80 years of global trade cooperation in order to concentrate power in his own hands. Congress began to take down the tariff walls of the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries when it passed the 1934 Reciprocal Tariff Act enabling the president to lower the high tariff rates Republicans had established with the 1930 Smoot-Hawley tariff. That tariff had worsened the Great Depression.

And then that news about Canada.

“The global economy is fundamentally different today than it was yesterday,” Canada’s prime minister Mark Carney said today. “The system of global trade anchored on the United States…is over. Our old relationship of steadily deepening integration with the United States is over. The 80-year period when the United States embraced the mantle of global economic leadership, when it forged alliances rooted in trust and mutual respect and championed the free and open exchange of goods and services is over. While this is a tragedy, it is also the new reality.”

Long column that goes on about closures of more government offices, a kerfuffle with the governor of Maine, the unpopularity of Project 2025, and of Elon Musk.

My partner keeps asking me why the Democrats don’t *do* something. My response is, why don’t the Republicans *do* something? Heather ends:

Republican members of Congress could stop Trump at any time. In the case of tariffs, they could simply reassert their constitutional power to manage tariffs. If they choose not to and the economy doesn’t recover and thrive as Trump keeps promising, voters can be expected to hold them, as well as him, to account.

Right now Republican leaders appear to be hoping that Trump’s attempt to extort other countries will work and the tariffs will be short lived. But their enthusiasm for that strategy seems to be well under control.

Today, Bill Ackman resorted to defending the tariffs by posting: “Sometimes the best strategy in a negotiation is convincing the other side you are crazy.”

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But then there’s this. Trump isn’t a stable genius; he’s an unstable moron.

The Atlantic, Jonathan Chait, 4 Apr 2025: Trump Has Already Botched His Own Bad Tariff Plan, subtitled “Once you’ve said you might negotiate, nobody is going to believe you when you change your mind and say you’ll never negotiate.”

It’s there in the subtitle, but I’ll quote the opening.

Donald Trump had a plan. It was not a good plan, or even a plausible one. But it was, at least, a coherent plan: By imposing large trade barriers on the entire world, he would create an incentive for American business to manufacture and grow all the goods the country previously imported.

Whatever chance this plan had to succeed is already over.

The key to making it work was to convince businesses that the new arrangement is durable. Nobody is going to invest in building new factories in the United States to create goods that until last week could be imported more cheaply unless they’re certain that the tariffs making the domestic version more competitive will stay in place. (They’re probably not going to do it anyway, in part because they don’t know who will be president in four years, but the point is that confidence in durable tariffs is a necessary condition.)

Trump claimed on Truth Social that his policies would never change, then

[P]recisely two hours and 17 minutes after insisting that his policies would never change, Trump returned to Truth Social to announce excitedly that the policies were going to change: “Just had a very productive call with To Lam, General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam, who told me that Vietnam wants to cut their Tariffs down to ZERO if they are able to make an agreement with the U.S. I thanked him on behalf of our Country, and said I look forward to a meeting in the near future.”

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My motivation by writing this kind of stuff up, as always, is to understand what these incidents reveal about human nature, and in turn what they suggest about the future of humanity (taking my science fictional perspective). On the one hand, humanity has advanced greatly in recent centuries, if by advancing you mean greater understanding of the world and universe, and greater health and longevity of people. On the other hand, the tribal mentality keeps re-asserting itself, tearing down anything that threatens tribal solidarity. Is this an endless cycle? Well, it may seem so, yet humanity has in fact progressed. That doesn’t mean it couldn’t all fall to ashes.

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Perhaps I belabor this. For now, a couple more links.

Salon, Quinn Sental, 3 Apr 2025: “This is bananas”: Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs rely on “indescribably crazy” math, subtitled “Trump admin ‘computed reciprocal tariffs without using tariff data,’ ex-Treasury Secretary says”

(Humanity’s advances have come from those who can do legitimate math.)

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Washington Post, Catherine Rampell, 4 Apr 2025: The GOP has an Orwellian solution to pay for Trump’s tax cuts, subtitled “Extending them will cost trillions of dollars? No problem.”

Evoking Orwell, and “two and two made five.”

Senate Republicans on Wednesday decided their party alone would control how math works. This is a pressing legislative question at present, because pretzeling budgetary outcomes into prettier shapes and sizes will determine whether Republicans can pass President Donald Trump’s promised tax cuts.

Those cuts are very expensive. Not only do they include extensions of the 2017 tax law provisions (set to expire this year), but they also lower corporate rates as well as carveouts for tips, auto loan payments and other goodies. In total, Trump’s preferred tax agenda could cost between $5 trillion and $11 trillion over the next decade.

This is inconvenient. Republicans like to pretend they’re fiscal conservatives (at least some of the time). They would prefer not to acknowledge the hefty price tag, and they also don’t want to fully offset it with unpopular spending cuts.

So, they’ve devised a cheat. Rather than admitting how much their tax agenda would cost, they are simply asserting that they get their first $4 trillion — free!

Here’s how: Republicans say that because some (expiring) tax cuts have been in place since 2017, extending them shouldn’t be recorded as costing anything, because they wouldn’t feel different. This is … not how budgets work. As I’ve explained before, it’s like saying even though your car lease has ended, leasing another car should count as “free” because you got used to the convenience of having a vehicle around.

And,

“I have the authority to determine baseline numbers for spending and revenue,” [Lindsey] Graham said in a statement. Under that authority, he said, he can use the special book-cooking math — a “current policy baseline” — that grants his party $4 trillion in freebies.

In other words: 2+2=5, if Republicans decree it so.

Some of us want to live in reality; Republicans seem to want to create their own reality. But actual reality will catch up with them eventually.

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One more, without comment.

Vox, Patrick Reis, 4 Apr 2025: A conspiracy theorist convinced Trump to fire the NSA director, subtitled “Laura Loomer, a 9/11 truther, apparently gets input into the president’s national security decisions.”

Posted in conservatives, Human Nature, Lunacy, Politics | Comments Off on Unstable Moron, and His Fans

“Liberation Day”

  • Trump’s “Liberation Day” of tariffs for virtually every country around the world — except for Russia! — might well wreck both America’s, and the world’s, economy;
  • With Paul Krugman’s expose of their “formula”;
  • A reminder from Robert Reich, from 2018, about how Trump is dumb in virtually everything except for political conning;
  • Daily Kos about that formula;
  • I recall some comments from Facebook, about a new Canadian alliance and the idea of conservation, while the MAGA crowd is not conversing, they’re tearing everything down;
  • And how Trump’s tariffs target uninhabited islands, and Lesotho.
– – –

The MAGA cultists and their elected idiot-in-chief are wrecking the nation, and maybe the world. Basically it boils down to: the world is changing, and conservative tribalists want to change it back, and will wreck the nation if they can’t. And they call it “Liberation Day.”

NY Times, 3 Apr 2025: Live Updates: Tariffs Send Wall Street Tumbling to Worst Day Since Pandemic

The S&P 500 fell almost 5 percent on Thursday, its worst drop since June 2020, as allies and adversaries alike criticized President Trump’s action and weighed their responses.

Currently pinned:

A new, sweeping round of tariffs sent a shock through Wall Street on Thursday, as upended economic forecasts and intensified worries about global growth sent stock markets tumbling to their worst day since the height of the coronavirus pandemic.

The S&P 500 fell almost 5 percent on Thursday, its worst showing since June 2020. Thursday’s decline came after the S&P 500 had already fallen for five of the last six weeks, amid intensifying economic concerns pressured by tariff talk. But the effects won’t be limited to the financial markets, experts said.

Thursday’s sell-off was an extraordinary moment in markets that, despite being prone to big swings, rarely suffer such a dramatic reaction to an American president’s rollout of an economic policy.

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Paul Krugman, 3 Apr 2025: Will Malignant Stupidity Kill the World Economy?, subtitled “Trump’s tariffs are a disaster. His policy process is worse.”

America created the modern world trading system. The rules governing tariffs and the negotiating process that brought those tariffs down over time grew out of the Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act, devised by FDR in 1934. The growth in international trade under that system had some negative aspects but was on balance very good for America and the world. It was, in fact, one of our greatest policy achievements.

Yesterday Donald Trump burned it all down.

You might be tempted to dismiss complaints about the policy process as elitist snobbery. But credibility is a crucial part of policymaking. Businesses can’t plan if they have no idea what to expect next. Foreign governments won’t make policies that help America if they don’t expect us to respond rationally.

So what do we know about how the Trumpists arrived at their tariff plan? Trump claimed that the tariff rates imposed on different countries reflected their policies, but James Surowiecki soon noted that the tariffs applied to each country appeared to be derived from a crude formula based on the U.S. trade deficit with that country. Trump officials denied this, while at the same time the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative released a note confirming Surowiecki’s guess. Here’s their explanation:

Ignore the Greek letters, which cancel each other out. This says that the assumed level of a country’s protectionism is equal to its trade surplus with America divided by its exports to America.

Trump also set minimum tariffs of 10 percent on everyone, which means among other things imposing tariffs on uninhabited islands.

There’s so much wrong with this approach that it’s hard to know where to start. But one easy thing to point out is that the Trump calculation only considers trade in goods, while ignoring trade in services. This is a big omission.

And so on. Trump is extremely simple-minded. In fact, it might be worth revisiting this 2018 post by Robert Reich, which has been floating around on Facebook today.

Salon, Robert Reich, 9 Jan 2018: Robert Reich: Seriously, how dumb is Trump?, subtitled “His staffers think he’s an idiot. But at least in one area, he’s a genius”

Political conning is Trump’s genius. This genius — combined with his utter stupidity in every other dimension of his being — poses a clear and present danger to America and the world.

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More about the formula.

Daily Kos, 3 Apr 2025: The dumb insidious formula for trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs

The reciprocal tariff rate is simply half the trade deficit divided by the total imports from the country, rounded up, with a minimum of 10%. It has no relationship with the actual tariff rates charged by the country on U.S. goods.

    Reciprocal tariff rate = max(trade_deficit / imports * 50%, 10%)

E.g., for Vietnam: $123.5b trade deficit, $136.6b imports by U.S.; reciprocal tariff = 123.5 / 136.6 / 2 = 46%.

A few countries are exempt from tariffs, notably Russia, Belarus and N. Korea.

Note that Russia is exempt from tariffs! (Because Trump so wants to be like dictator Putin.)

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Meanwhile, I saw an item on Facebook about how the new Canadian president is setting up a trade alliance with European nations that will exclude the US. I’ll find a link tomorrow.

And another comment on Facebook, about how conservatives supposedly want to conserve things. These people in charge of the current government are not conserving things, they are tearing things down. How far does this go before even the cultists rebel?

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Several sources have noted the incoherency of this tariff plan, established in typical Trump form without much thought.

The Guardian, 2 Apr 2025 (via JMG): ‘Nowhere on Earth is safe’: Trump imposes tariffs on uninhabited islands near Antarctica

And

NBC News, 3 Apr 2025: Trump’s highest tariff will kill tiny African kingdom of Lesotho, economist says, subtitled “Ridiculed for imposing trade tariffs on frozen islands largely inhabited by penguins, Trump’s formula for calculating levies has a serious side: it is also hitting some of the world’s poorest nations hardest.”

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Trump is a James Bond villain. Well, no; James Bond villains were smart.

Posted in Human Nature, Lunacy, Politics | Comments Off on “Liberation Day”

This is how these things happen

  • NYT’s M. Gessen on how the police state has arrived;
  • A WaPo reporter goes looking for the “corrosive ideology” Trump thinks is in the Smithsonian;
  • The next Project 2025 goal is to restore the ideal heterosexual family, and diminish everyone else;
  • CDC is ordered *not* to release a measles report; Josh Hawley too is obsessed by “spiritual oppression”; what Trump’s “liberation” actually means; how our era echoes McCarthyism; and how moving fast and breaking things is about knowing their time is limited.
– – –

Even if most people don’t notice in their daily lives.

NY Times, M. Gessen, 2 Apr 2025: Unmarked Vans. Secret Lists. Public Denunciations. Our Police State Has Arrived. [gift link]

“It’s the unmarked cars,” a friend who grew up under an Argentine dictatorship said. He had watched the video of the Columbia graduate student Mahmoud Khalil’s abduction. In the video, which Khalil’s wife recorded, she asks for the names of the men in plainclothes who handcuffed her husband.

“We don’t give our name,” one responds. “Can you please specify what agency is taking him?” she pleads. No response. We know now that Khalil was detained by Immigration and Customs Enforcement, an agency of the Department of Homeland Security.

Then a series of paragraphs:

It’s the forced mass transports of immigrants. These are not even deportations, in the way we typically think of them. Rather than being sent to their country of origin, Venezuelans were sent to El Salvador, where they are being imprisoned, indefinitely, without due process. …

It’s the growing irrelevance of the law and the helplessness of judges and lawyers. A federal judge ordered flights carrying the Venezuelan men to be turned around and demanded information about the abductees. … [others] The executive branch apparently ignored these rulings.

It’s the chilling stories that come by word of mouth. ICE is checking documents on the subway. ICE is outside New York public libraries that hold English-as-a-second-language classes. ICE agents handcuffed a U.S. citizen who tried to intervene in a detention in Harlem. ICE vehicles are parked outside Columbia. ICE is coming to your workplace, your street, your building. …

It’s the invisible hand of the authorities. The media outlet Zeteo reports that Homeland Security employees are revoking foreign students’ status in the database that’s usually maintained by universities. …

It’s the shifting goal posts. They are taking not only people who are in the United States without legal status but also those who are here on a visitor’s visa and then also legal permanent residents. They are targeting not only people who have criminal convictions but also those whom they say they suspect of belonging to a gang and also those who participated in or supported campus protests and then also someone, like Ozturk, who merely wrote, with three other people, an opinion essay in a student newspaper. …

It’s the way we dig down for the details of these stories to reassure ourselves that this won’t happen to us, or that there is some logic to these arrests. [examples] …

And, as the historian Timothy Snyder has pointed out, if due process is routinely denied to noncitizens, it will be denied to citizens too, simply because it is often impossible for people to prove that they are citizens. This has happened before, …

It’s the lists. More than anything else, in fact, it’s the lists. A private company has launched an app called ICERAID, billed as a “protocol that delegates intelligence-gathering tasks to citizens that would otherwise be undertaken by law enforcement agencies.” …
The app, in other words, combines two time-tested secret-police techniques: incentivizing some people to denounce their neighbors and inducing others to add themselves to registries.

It’s the denunciations by concerned citizens. Before there was ICERAID, there were several groups compiling lists of people they consider antisemitic, especially university students and faculty. [examples] … When Rubio was asked if the State Department is using lists fed to it by these private groups, he said, “We’re not going to talk about the process by which we’re identifying it because obviously we’re looking for more people.”

… [concluding:]

But while we are still capable of looking, we have to say what we see: The United States has become a secret-police state. Trust me, I’ve seen it before.

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What does she find?

Washington Post, Monica Hesse, 2 Apr 2025: What exactly does Trump think is in the Smithsonian?, subtitled “Following his most recent executive order, I went in search of some ‘corrosive ideology.'”

It takes her a while. She begins with the sculpture shown in the photo above.

A few days ago, I spent 14 minutes standing in front of a single piece of artwork, a 1998 installation called “Las Twines.” Life-size, hyperrealistic sculptures of two little girls — the twins — sharing a swing. They were dressed identically in communion dresses and wore boxing gloves featuring Puerto Rican flags, but one had blonde hair and light skin and the other was dark-skinned with dark hair. They stared placidly ahead, while museum visitors like me were left to stare back and ponder how the world might treat these two girls with shared DNA and different complexions. It was uncanny, it was thought-provoking, it was beautiful and sad. I wasn’t sure whether I liked it, I wasn’t sure whether I was supposed to. It’s art, after all.

She goes through many more examples of things targeted by Trump’s EO [I can’t imagine he wrote the order himself]:

The president had declared that federally run museums such as the Smithsonian were promoting a “corrosive ideology” that needed to be course-corrected. “Under this historical revision,” the order read, “our Nation’s unparalleled legacy of advancing liberty, individual rights, and human happiness is reconstructed as inherently racist, sexist, oppressive, or otherwise irredeemably flawed.”

[[ More conservative simplistic good/bad thinking, in which no flaws in American history can be acknowledged. ]]

She reflects:

Our nation’s “unparalleled legacy of advancing liberty, individual rights, and human happiness” — for who? Whose happiness did we advance? Whose happiness did we overlook? Who got to have individual rights and who was coded as property in legal and official documents for centuries of our great nation’s history?

She visits the famous portrait of George Washington.

On my way to visit the corrosive art that I cannot imagine Trump has actually seen, I dropped in on a school tour where the guide plopped down a bunch of sixth-graders in front of a magnificent portrait of George Washington — the most famous one, the one by Gilbert Stuart — and there she revealed that there are actually multiple versions of this portrait in existence. They’re drafts. Some are just sketches; some contain just his face. They’re all just rough drafts that got closer and closer to the real thing, as the artist tried his best to capture this complicated man, this founder of our country, this enslaver, this hero. And that is how history is made. Rough drafts, again and again.

And at the end, she concludes:

If you are looking for something to be shocked by, you can probably find it. But no more so than anywhere else in the museum. No more so than anywhere else in our history. America is a shocking place — shockingly beautiful and shockingly violent. And the people in it will make you weep with every emotion that can prompt tears. Jubilant, sad, ridiculous, sublime. It’s America, after all.

You cannot love America without hating it a little bit. But you cannot hate it without loving it so, so much. Wanting it to be better. Wanting it to be what we all deserve.

As I stood with the tour groups and the lunch crowd and the tired families pushing strollers and doling out juice boxes — as I stood in this completely free institution that exists for no other reason than to help America learn something about itself, that was the most shocking realization of all: The Smithsonian is not filled with hatred toward our busted, struggling, awesome country; it is filled with the deepest love, and that is what I learned at the museum.

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The Atlantic, David A. Graham, 1 Apr 2025: The Top Goal of Project 2025 Is Still to Come, subtitled “The now-famous white paper has proved to be a good road map for what the administration has done so far, and what may yet be on the way.”

And what would this top goal be? Why, the one of prioritizing expansion of the tribe, via the ideal family, over all else.

“Freedom is a fragile thing, and it’s never more than one generation away from extinction,” Ronald Reagan said in 1967, in his inaugural address as governor of California. Kevin D. Roberts, the president of the Heritage Foundation, approvingly quotes the speech in his foreword to Project 2025, the conservative think tank’s blueprint for the Trump administration. Roberts writes that the plan has four goals for protecting its vision of freedom: restoring the family “as the centerpiece of American life”; dismantling the federal bureaucracy; defending U.S. “sovereignty, borders, and bounty”; and securing “our God-given individual rights to live freely.”

Project 2025 has proved to be a good road map for understanding the first months of Donald Trump’s second term, but most of the focus has been on efforts to dismantle the federal government as we know it. The effort to restore traditional families has been less prominent so far, but it could reshape the everyday lives of all Americans in fundamental ways. Its place atop the list of priorities is no accident—it reflects the most deeply held views of many of the contributors—though the destruction of the administrative state might end up imperiling the Trump team’s ability to actually carry out the changes the authors want.

A focus on heterosexual, married, procreating couples is everywhere in Project 2025. “Families comprised of a married mother, father, and their children are the foundation of a well-­ordered nation and healthy society,” writes Roger Severino… He argues that the federal government should bolster organizations that “maintain a biblically based, social-­science-reinforced definition of marriage and family,” saying that other forms are less stable. The goal is not only moral; he and other authors see this as a path to financial stability and perhaps even greater prosperity for families.

The piece goes on to discuss how they intend to bring this goal about.

The point: they say it’s about “individual rights to live freely” but they don’t mean it; it’s about restricting your rights to live freely if you’re not part of a heterosexual family with children. If you’re not, you don’t count, and should be diminished. Thus the focus on *defining* two genders. [[ Is this truly what we need, in an era of expanding population leading to climate change that might threaten the survival of the species? Of course this question is beyond the range of tribalistic thinking. ]]

With this irony:

Turning these ideas into reality would require substantial engagement from the federal bureaucracy. Yet Trump and Elon Musk have spent the first months of the presidency haphazardly demolishing large swaths of the workforce at just the departments that would be necessary to make these things happen.

And concluding:

With a little imagination, we can glimpse the America that Project 2025 proposes. It is an avowedly Christian nation, but following a very specific, narrow strain of Christianity. In many ways, it resembles the 1950s. While fathers work, mothers stay at home with larger families. At school, students learn old-­fashioned values and lessons. Abortion is illegal, vaccines are voluntary, and the state is minimally involved in health care. The government is slow to police racial discrimination in all but its most blatant expressions. Trans and LGBTQ people exist—­they always have—­but are encouraged to remain closeted. It is a vision that suggests Reagan was right: Freedom ­really is a fragile thing.

This is MAGA. The rest of the world will move on.

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Shorter items.

JMG, 31 Mar 2025, from ProPublica: CDC Ordered Staff Not To Release Measles Warning.

Leaders at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention ordered staff this week not to release their experts’ assessment that found the risk of catching measles is high in areas near outbreaks where vaccination rates are lagging, according to internal records reviewed by ProPublica.

Isn’t this, like, an abnegation of their duties? How are these people different from foreign invaders bent on destroying the country?

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This aligns with the item yesterday about Karoline Leavitt and spiritual warfare. These people live in a fantasy world of absolute good and evil. In which they’re on the side of good, of course.

Right Wing Watch, Kyle Mantyla, 31 Mar 2025: Sen. Josh Hawley Says The U.S. Is Being Destroyed By Secular ‘Spiritual Oppression’

He hasn’t read the Bible thoroughly enough, is my take; or he’s cherry-picking.

“Every civilization is founded on a set of religious convictions and the United States of America, I firmly believe, is the greatest nation in the history of the world because our spiritual convictions are the convictions of the Bible,” Hawley declared. “They are the convictions of the truth of the word of God, but the forces of secularism seek to cut us off from that truth. It seeks to destroy it and in so doing, to oppress our nation.”

Actually, the US was founded on decidedly *non*religious principles, and either he’s dumb not to understand that, or is lying.

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This talk of liberation is more Orwellian speak.

LA Times, Jonah Goldberg, 31 Mar 2025: What will Trump’s tariffs ‘liberate’ us from?

I am writing this from the last days of our captivity.

Indeed, by the time some of you read this, we will be free. If all goes according to the White House’s plan, April 2 will go down in history as America’s “Liberation Day.”

Steve Bannon, a prominent unofficial Trump advisor, is so confident about its success, he’s already talking about making Liberation Day a federal holiday next year.

But we’re getting ahead of ourselves. From what will we be liberated on Liberation Day?

Details.

White House trade advisor Peter Navarro expects these tariffs to raise $600 billion annually. Nearly every serious economist across the ideological spectrum understands that American consumers would pay the bulk of that. Thus, if “successful,” Trump would be imposing the largest, most regressive tax increase in history.

He echoes the last item in yesterday’s post.

The wellspring of this geyser of asininity is the simple fact that Trump doesn’t understand how trade works.

Every time you get a haircut, you have a trade deficit with the barber. Are you being ripped off?

Trump’s obsession with Canada illustrates his confusion. We have a trade deficit with Canada, under a trade agreement he crafted in his first term. Hence, Trump claims we “subsidize” Canada $200 billion a year (a made-up number, but that’s beside the point). The only reason we have a trade deficit with Canada is that they sell us oil at a price below global market rates. If we stopped buying their cheaper oil, we’d be worse off. Gas prices would go up and American jobs dedicated to refining that oil and exporting it would vanish. But the metric Trump cares about would improve.

Hold on here. Stuff we need would have become more scarce and expensive. Americans would be worse off. And that’s a win because … why?

During the years of our supposed economic captivity, the American economy became the “envy of the world.” That’s what Trump seems bent on liberating us from.

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That he is on Musk’s side completely discredits him, to me.

JMG, 1 Apr 2025: Franklin Graham: Pray For Jesus To Protect Elon Musk

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This has happened before. Our institutions are good, they were well-intentioned, but are not strong enough to keep this happening, over and over.

LA Times, Catherine Fisk, 31 Mar 2025: Echoing McCarthyism, federal firings will inflict generations of trauma

Today, as in the Red Scare, we should lament the damage that arbitrary firings do to scientific research, medical care, government services and academic freedom. The media have reported all this. But those who are fired are not faceless bureaucrats, as the government says. They are people who have devoted themselves to public service and have expertise that will be hard to use in the private sector. Many have families dependent on their income.

I teach and write on employment law, so I know that each case of a fired employee is a story of dashed hopes, anger and pain. When, as during the McCarthy era and now, government inflicts that pain on a mass scale, it magnifies the trauma to families and communities. Perhaps history will remember these mass firings as a tragic mistake the way so many of the Red Scare firings are now remembered. But the harms cannot be undone and will ripple through America for decades to come.

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I’ve thought about this before. There’s a hidden agenda behind “move fast and break things.”

LGBTQNation, John Gallagher, 31 Mar 2025: Trump & Musk are moving fast because they know their time is limited, subtitled “The administration’s destructive policies are already taking a toll in polling, but the damage is already done.”

Trump—or, more properly, the people who are advising him—has three goals. One is to solidify presidential power. The other is to do as much damage to the government now as possible, recognizing that most of the damage can never be undone. The third goal is to pass tax cuts for the wealthy at the expense of safety-net programs like Medicaid.

Does Trump not realize, as he speculates serving a third term, how unlikely it is he will survive his second?

Posted in Art, authoritarianism, Economics, Politics | Comments Off on This is how these things happen

A Post-Pandemic Malaise?

  • Thoughts about whether the pandemic has led to autocracy around the world;
  • How that, and inequality, have left Americans in a sour economic mood;
  • A graphic illustrating how those who want to privatize everything think everything is about making money;
  • The administration’s latest “administrative error” sends an innocent man to a Salvadoran prison;
  • How Karoline Leavitt is obsessed by spiritual warfare;
  • An economics professor explains why Trump’s ideas about tariffs make no sense.
– – –

Similar idea encountered twice today.

First,on KQED’s Forum radio interview program.

This morning hosted Alexis Madrigal, with guests Anne Applebaum and Steven Levitsky.

KQED Forum, 1 Apr 2025: How Countries Fall Into Autocracy

Alas there’s no transcript (at least not yet) but the point that struck in passing was how, *as a result of the pandemic*, people around the world are generally discontent, to the point where they keep voting incumbents out of office, via regular votes or recalls. (Rather than being guided by any overall philosophical or political goals.)

(And in fact, there has been a rash of recalls in the SF Bay Area in the past few years. Whenever everything isn’t perfect, many people seem to think, it’s the fault of whoever is in charge, so get ’em out of office asap.)

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Then this, on the front page.

NY Times, Talmon Joseph Smith, 31 Mar 2025: America Has Never Been Wealthier. Here’s Why It Doesn’t Feel That Way., subtitled “A surge in U.S. wealth has been driven by stock and home values. But the gains are concentrated at the top, leaving others in a sour economic mood.”

Is this the same or a parallel issue? Like, maybe inequality driven by Republican tax policies that favor the wealthy?

America is more prosperous than ever.

U.S. household net worth reached a new peak at the end of 2024. The unemployment rate has levitated just above record lows for three years. The overall debt that households are carrying compared with the assets they own is also near a record low.

But even a land of plenty has its shortcomings, influencing both perceptions and realities of how Americans are doing.

The U.S. economy remains deeply unequal, with vast gaps in wealth and financial security persisting even as inflation has ebbed and incomes have risen. And data designed to capture the overall population may be obscuring challenges experienced by a broad range of Americans, especially those in the bottom half of the wealth or income spectrum.

Consider this:

This seems to be a separate issue, but not entirely.

Despite the growth in overall wealth, economic confidence among American households has not returned to where it was before the pandemic. That was the case even before consumer sentiment readings — along with the stock market — were dampened by the prospect of an inflationary global trade war from President Trump’s tariff campaign. But what is also striking in the data is the increasing gap in perceptions along income lines.

Over the past four years, the University of Michigan’s monthly survey of consumer sentiment has shown those in the bottom two-thirds of income to be deeply pessimistic about the economy — with rock-bottom ratings more common during periods of deep recession, including the 2008 financial crisis.

In contrast, sentiment among the top third of earners recently rebounded after falling from prepandemic levels.

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This graphic showed up in my Facebook feed again. It’s been around for a while. Why conservatives want to privatize everything.

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The Trump administration scandal of the week is sending an innocent man to a harsh prison in El Salvador. It was an “administrative error.”

The Atlantic, Nick Miroff, 31 Mar 2025: An ‘Administrative Error’ Sends a Maryland Father to a Salvadoran Prison, subtitled “The Trump administration says that it mistakenly deported an immigrant with protected status but that courts are powerless to order his return.”

And they don’t care.

The Trump administration acknowledged in a court filing Monday that it had grabbed a Maryland father with protected legal status and mistakenly deported him to El Salvador, but said that U.S. courts lack jurisdiction to order his return from the megaprison where he’s now locked up.

The case appears to be the first time the Trump administration has admitted to errors when it sent three planeloads of Salvadoran and Venezuelan deportees to El Salvador’s grim “Terrorism Confinement Center” on March 15. Attorneys for several Venezuelan deportees have said that the Trump administration falsely labeled their clients as gang members because of their tattoos. Trump officials have disputed those claims.

While others in the administration keep insisting the man had terrorist ties. Karoline Leavitt:

Yahoo! News, from The New Republic, 1 Apr 2025: Karoline Leavitt Pulls a 180 After ICE Admits It Deported Wrong Guy

The Trump administration is continuing to lie about the Venezuelan nationals they deported on claims they were all Tren de Aragua gang members.

Press secretary Karoline Leavitt was asked on Tuesday about the case of Kilmer Armado Abrego Garcia, the Maryland-based Salvadoran national who was deported to El Salvador earlier this month based on a “clerical error.”

Clearly, this administration is looking for any excuse at all to deport people who are not white.

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And… Karoline Leavitt is a sterling example of black and white, good vs. evil, thinking. Conservative thinking.

Boing Boing, Jason Weisberger, 1 Apr 2025: Gilead is here: Karoline Leavitt thinks every day is a holy war

God saved Trump, prayer meetings before press conferences, and a certainty that THE LORD is on their side are just a few of the ideas keeping the notoriously dishonest Karoline Leavitt fighting Democracy.

In an interview with the Christian Broadcasting Network, Convicted Felon #47’s mouthpiece, Karoline Leavitt, described the “spiritual warfare” she is engaged in. There are “evil forces” out there trying to stop Trump, and only the grace of God has spared them. Their Lord also helps Leavitt articulate her words.

Childish thinking.

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Clear thinking about tariffs. And why Trump thinks every country in the world is ripping off the US.

NY Times, opinion guest essay by Jason Furman, 31 Mar 2025: Trump Is About to Bet the Economy on a Theory That Makes No Sense

My local bookstore has been taking advantage of me for years. I have run a trade deficit, giving it money with nothing but books in return. At the same time I have been taking advantage of my employer, running a trade surplus with it as it gives me a salary with nothing but educational services in exchange.

Thinking that way about the kinds of exchanges we all engage in is obviously absurd. But that’s precisely the reasoning behind the “reciprocal tariffs” President Trump is expected to announce this week. The details have not yet come into view, but if he does follow through, it’s clear the plan would add to what are already the nation’s highest tariffs since the 1940s. Their effect will be lower economic growth, higher inflation, higher unemployment, the destruction of wealth and a tax increase on American families. It will deal a blow to the rules underlying the global trading system and further empower China.

Mr. Trump has cycled through numerous rationales for tariffs: They will raise revenues, with foreigners footing the bill. They will help American manufacturers and national security. They will provide leverage against Mexican fentanyl and Canadian sovereignty. In all of these cases there is a bit of truth and a lot of falsehood.

But the one argument Mr. Trump has returned to again and again is that other countries are taking advantage of the United States. He measures the degree to which they are doing so by the magnitude of our trade deficit with them — that is, how much more money we spend on another country’s goods and services than we get from selling it our goods and services.

In this reckoning, the reason those deficits arise is that other countries erect tariffs and other trade barriers against the United States. It follows from this analysis that the solution is to reciprocate by erecting our own tariffs, which will either protect the United States or else get other countries to lower their barriers, either way reducing or eliminating the trade deficits.

Every step in this chain of reasoning is wrong.

The writer goes on to explain why.

Posted in Economics, Human Nature, Politics | Comments Off on A Post-Pandemic Malaise?

What Is the Venn Diagram Between Whitewashing and White Supremacy?

  • Signalgate and white mediocrity;
  • How we are seeing tribal impulses eroding the high ideals designed to overcome them;
  • How the Trump administration is indifferent to refugees… except for whites from South Africa;
  • Jill Lawrence at The Bulwark about Trump’s bid to whitewash American history;
  • Short items about RFK, National Review, and Paul Krugman about how MAGA is bad for business.
– – –

I’m mentioned white supremacy a couple times. It’s seemed to me that the goal of DOGE is to reinstate white supremacy, that DEI is bad because it treats the entire nation’s population as worthy of consideration, while Trump and MAGA care only about whites, and everyone else should be disappeared.

Here’s one result.

Salon, Rann Miller, 31 Mar 2025: Signalgate is a consequence of anti-DEI hysteria, subtitled “White mediocrity has become a national security risk”

Beginning with a prominent example, which most people have probably forgotten about.

Lloyd Austin, the former defense secretary and a four-star general with 40 years of military experience, was nonetheless labeled a DEI hire of the Biden administration. Pete Hegseth, the current secretary of defense, lacks adequate expertise and experience, on top of the fact that he’s had allegations of sexual assault and is known as an excessive drinker. A former National Security Council member and a Senate member deemed Hegseth unqualified for the position. However, according to Donald Trump, Hegseth had a tremendous track record that qualified him for the position.

The MAGA crowd called for Austin to resign because he failed to share that he had an emergency medical procedure, yet they explain away Hegseth’s failure to keep the details of a war plan confidential. Clearly, the ability to keep a secret wasn’t a qualification for Hegseth to get the job as defense secretary. What Signalgate, the recent scandal involving the Trump administration discussing war plans in a text thread with a journalist mistakenly added to the conversation, made abundantly clear is that the only qualification for Hegseth is that he was what Mishel Williams calls WEI: white, entitled and incompetent.

WEI: white, entitled, and incompetent. This is where we are.

One more bit, with a famous line from LBJ.

What this scandal shows is that the practice of hiring unqualified and mediocre white people — and calling it making America great — can, and has, compromised national security. And yet, many white people are so convinced that Black people and other people of color are wholly unqualified to lead, specifically those who don’t think like or act like them.

Donald Trump has reinforced that belief, proving Lyndon B. Johnson right when Johnson said, “If you can convince the lowest white man he’s better than the best colored man, he won’t notice you’re picking his pocket. Hell, give him somebody to look down on, and he’ll empty his pockets for you.” I guess you can call Donald Trump the pick-pocketing pied piper… say that three times fast.

Once again, this isn’t about America and MAGA and white supremacy per se so much as it’s an illustration of how tribal impulses can erode the high ideals designed to overcome them. It can happen, and has happened, anytime and everywhere. It’s part of human nature. This seems to be a fundamental limitation of our species.

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Trump’s US is indifferent to refugees, except for the white ones.

NY Times, 31 Mar 2025: ‘Mission South Africa’: How Trump Is Offering White Afrikaners Refugee Status, subtitled “The United States has banned most refugees, including 20,000 people who were already ready to travel to the United States before President Trump took office. But Mr. Trump is making one exception.” [Gift link via JMG]

The Trump administration has thrown open the doors to white Afrikaners from South Africa, establishing a program called “Mission South Africa” to help them come to the United States as refugees, according to documents obtained by The New York Times.

The administration’s focus on white Afrikaners comes as it effectively bans the entry of other refugees — including about 20,000 people from countries like Afghanistan, Congo and Syria who were ready to travel to the United States before Mr. Trump took office. In court filings about those other refugees, the administration has argued that core functions of the refugee program had been “terminated” after the president’s ban, so it did not have the resources to take in any more people.

“There’s no subtext and nothing subtle about the way this administration’s immigration and refugee policy has obvious racial and racist overtones,” said Vanessa Cárdenas, the executive director of America’s Voice. “While they seek to single out Afrikaners for special treatment, they simultaneously want us to think mostly Black and brown vetted newcomers are dangerous despite their background checks and all evidence to the contrary.”

So… is this not the implementation of white supremacy by MAGA?

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What, I wonder, is the Venn Diagram overlap between white supremacy and whitewashing?

The Bulwark, Jill Lawrence, 30 Mar 2025: Trump’s Latest Bid to Rewrite Reality, subtitled “From the Smithsonian to statues, he wants to whitewash America’s past.”

… I’ve been fuming over Donald Trump’s March 27 executive order to disappear from our “national attic” all evidence of “woke,” mistakes, and regret, and restore monuments that honor people and events on the wrong side of history’s moral line.

This one short document hyperfocused on the Smithsonian Institution is just 1,150 words, but it is towering in its Stalinesque ambition to walk back history and whitewash America’s past.

So, with thanks to my high school English teachers for having shown me the importance of unpacking language, here’s a close reading of this order.

Let’s start with the title, “Restoring Truth and Sanity to American History.” As with most things Trump and MAGA, including another recent pronouncement about “preserving and protecting the integrity of American elections,” it says exactly the opposite of what it means. In both cases, the goal is to mute or silence voices Trump disagrees with.

A lengthy piece, as she reads her way through the order. One more bit.

The most glaring error in this passage, the one that reveals it to be garbage, is the word “irredeemably.” America is anything but irredeemable. Time and again, we have confronted, corrected, and even transcended our tragic errors. That is how we have achieved our advances in “liberty, individual rights, and human happiness.”

The irony here is that Trump—along with Elon Musk, Russell Vought, Kristi Noem, Stephen Miller, and many others in his administration—is right now doing tremendous damage to liberty, individual rights, and human happiness. Abducting immigrants and throwing them into foreign prisons? Thoughtlessly firing government experts? Kicking patriotic transgender service members out of the armed forces? Gutting government grants on science? It’s not our historians and museum curators who are weaving that tale of woe and misery.

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Shorter items, with comments but not quotes. Ok, one quote.

  • JMG from WSJ: WSJ: “Our Worst Fears About RFK Are Coming True”
  • Even National Review, the most conservative of the major magazines, has issues with Trump. Jeffrey Blehar, 31 Mar 2025: Where Do You Draw the Line?, subtitled “While I concede the legality of the administration’s move against Rumeysa Öztürk, I reject its morality and prudence.” Comment: this is about the woman abducted in broad daylight…
  • Paul Krugman, 31 Mar 2025: MAGA is Bad for Business, subtitled “And business owners were deluded to believe otherwise” OK, I will quote a key fact that most people don’t know, or deny.

    One odd feature of U.S. politics is that businesspeople, especially small business owners, always seems to believe that they will do better under Republicans, even though history shows that business does better under Democrats. Small business owners supported Trump in the last election, despite ample evidence that he would be very bad for business.

I have more, but I’ll save them…

Posted in conservatives, Morality, Politics | Comments Off on What Is the Venn Diagram Between Whitewashing and White Supremacy?

I read the news today, oh boy.

  • How mold is taken as a miracle, another example in an endless series throughout history;
  • Short items about Trump, tariffs, and auto prices; lying about American history; how “make America healthy again” means the opposite; how a vaccine expert has been fired from the FDA; and how DOGE wants to privatize everything.

And in the news today, more lies, more reversals, from the Trump administration. He’s changed his mind. He doesn’t remember what he said. “Witch hunt” is one of his favorite terms, from his limited vocabulary, to dismiss any accusation against his band of incompetents. I suspect he was no idea what the actual witch hunts were about. It’s exhausting to try to keep up. We’re living in an upside-down, Alice in Wonderland world. And yet still he has fans.

Let me post this. It’s more significant that it might seem at first glance.

Friendly Atheist, Hemant Mehta, 29 Mar 2025: It’s mold, not a miracle: The Catholic Church’s latest eucharistic blunder, subtitled “Another viral Catholic miracle turns out to be just bacteria and wishful thinking”

Once again, after suggesting a miracle had occurred and there was tangible proof, an investigation has discovered… that there was a perfectly sensible, scientific, non-miraculous explanation for it.

About a month ago, an X/Twitter account posted a story involving a “Eucharistic Miracle” at St. Anthony of Padua in Morris, Indiana. The account relayed a story a woman had just sent to her family, explaining that a consecrated communion wafer had accidentally been dropped on the floor. Instead of throwing it away, a priest put it in water and “left it in the tabernacle to dissolve.” He did the same thing to a second wafer that dropped later.

When a staffer went to check on those wafers the next day to see if they had dissolved, there were “spots of blood!” The woman added: “When I saw it today it looked like a very very thin piece of skin with blood on it.”

To those of us who’ve been around the block, so to speak, this is just another in an endless history of gullible people seeing things they want to believe. Perceiving things they don’t understand and mapping them into the limited fantasy world they’ve been taught to believe in from childhood.

In this case, it’s about mold. And similar explanations, we’re sure, explain all the so-called “miracles” from throughout history. Get a grip. Get real. But it won’t ever happen. Humans can’t bear much reality

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I’ll reduce some other items to headlines.

Posted in Human Nature, Psychology, Religion | Comments Off on I read the news today, oh boy.

Adolescence of Boys, and of the Species

For once we happened to watch a much-discussed current show only a week after it debuted (instead of months later or years later). This is the Netflix show Adolescence (Wikipedia link).

It’s four hour-long episodes, about a 13-year-old boy in an English village who is accused of killing, with a knife, a girl classmate. Each episode is shot in one continuous take, and the episodes are sequential but not continuous. Continue reading

Posted in Evolution, Human Nature, Psychology | Comments Off on Adolescence of Boys, and of the Species

The Reality of the World Will Fight Back

  • How the current administration deals in “alternative facts”;
  • With a reminder of some central themes of this blog;
  • Now the Smithsonian Institution is targeted for “improper ideology,” which seems to mean that the prejudices and stereotypes of decades ago are to be restored;
  • Heather Cox Richardson on the administration’s definition of “the Left”;
  • Hillary Clinton on the current administration’s hijinks: “It’s not the hypocrisy; it’s the stupidity”;
  • Short items on even WSJ being accused to fake news; whether Trump believes in the fee market or not (as he orders car companies not to raise prices in response to his tariffs); ending laws against child labor; now they’re abducting people in broad daylight; business leaders compare Trump to a mob boss; Christians are now plotting to overturn Obergefell (as predicted); how Pam Bondi thinks judges have no authority to overrule the president.
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First, a reminder of the current situation.

The Bulwark, Mona Charen, 28 Mar 2025: What Happens When the Government Starts Reporting ‘Alternative Facts’?, subtitled “The truth is the last weapon of the opposition.”

Continue reading

Posted in Conservative Resistance, Human Nature, Politics | Comments Off on The Reality of the World Will Fight Back