People Would Rather Believe Than Know

  • How conservatives distrust science because it does not accommodate “moral and religious values”, thus missing the point of science;
  • Mark Lilla on the allure of ignorance;
  • Dinesh D’Souza admits 2000 Mules was flawed;
  • Heather Cox Richardson on how government institutions were designed to work;
  • RIP Hal Lindsey, whose Biblical prophecies failed.

The key to this piece is that the writer is a “senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute,” which is a right-wing think tank.

NY Times, M. Anthony Mill, 27 Nov 2024: The MAGA Science Agenda Reveals America’s Future

The piece dwells on RFK Jr and vaccine-resistance, then identifies historical events that have affected American views on science. This is the passage that struck me.

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Politics, Tribalism, and the Retelling of History

  • Book burning and the erasure or retelling of history;
  • Trump’s latest outrageous choice for his cabinet;
  • And how Trump voters are now unconcerned about voter fraud, since their side won.

Given that ideology, tradition, and storytelling are more common on the right than the left, while scientists (those interested in reality) tend to align with the left rather than the right, it’s not surprising that those who think history needs adjusting come from the right.

OnlySky, Dale McGowan, 26 Nov 2024: Book burning in the digital age, subtitled “The right has long felt that some of our history needs adjustment. How far will they go?”

At the same time, one theme that saturates this blog, aside from politics and psychology in general, is Continue reading

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Perspectives on the World

  • How Republicans are suddenly optimistic about the economy;
  • David Brooks on how Trumpism reflects shifts in America’s basic morality;
  • How Americans believe things about the rival party, especially Democrats, that simply aren’t true;
  • Robert Reich’s personal sources of truth;
  • And Big Think on how scientists are not conspiring in a Satanic plot to undermine religion.

You can look at the same thing and see different things depending on your inclination.

Washington Post, Annie Duke, 26 Nov 2024: Opinion | When beliefs trump facts, Thanksgiving becomes less fun, subtitled “What a sudden change in consumer sentiment says about us.”

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Wrecking Crews and Historical Cycles

Once again, considering current politics as the ways human nature plays out. Today’s topics:

  • Efforts in several states to replace general education with Christian education;
  • The reality of the “deep state,” and how they plan to survive Trump and MAGA;
  • Zack Beauchamp looks at the worldwide trend against traditional political systems, and has no answer;
  • While I ascribe this in part to the short-term thinking of base human nature, and how it’s becoming inadequate in the modern global world.
– – –

Again, Trump’s motivations behind the selections for his wrecking-crew cabinet seem identical to those of an outside invading force that wants to destroy the US government and replace it with a Christian theocracy. They’re either shameless about it, or clueless about it, I’m not sure which.

Salon, Amanda Marcotte, 26 Nov 2024: Trump opens up a new war on public schools, subtitled “MAGA leaders promise an ‘educational insurgency’ to create ‘boot camps for winning back America'”

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A Couple Interesting Things About Reality

  • After which, items about toxic masculinity and Trump, Elon Musk stifling news, and others.

Let’s begin by noting a couple interesting things about reality, one from a hundred years ago, one new.

AlterNet, via The Conversation, 22 Nov 2024: It’s been 100 years since we learned the Milky Way is not the only galaxy

Of course, most people don’t actually understand what a galaxy actually is — since references in pop science fiction (mostly movies) confuse galaxy with nebula or star or solar system — but this item notes a significant point in the understanding by scientists of humanity’s place in the actual universe.
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False Realities

  • Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not to his own facts, as we’ve long heard;
  • Historian Heather Cox Richardson dismantles claims of Trump’s “mandate”;
  • Short items about MTG and NPR; Fox News personalities becoming America’s scientists and doctors; revenge of the Covid contrarians; and how RFK Jr’s response to measles in Samoa led to 80 deaths;
  • How Trump’s budget cutters illustrate rote conservative principles — reduce government, cut taxes, more money for the military — without any kind of background rationales;
  • Paul Krugman on how exceptions to Trump’s tariffs will result in crony capitalism;
  • How how Jesus supports whatever his believers support.

Scientific American, Robert Jay Lifton, 25 Nov 2024: When a Nation Embraces a False Reality, subtitled “A renowned psychiatrist and activist compares Trump’s election to other pivotal historical moments in which the ultimate victim was truth itself”

Daniel Patrick Moynihan once said that “Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not to his own facts.” That’s a simple, profound and true statement.
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Political Extremes and Instability

  • Perhaps the problem is that claims of “mandates” create political instability, and that’s what makes voters cynical about government;
  • Especially when mandate claimers promise things they can’t possibly deliver, like Musk promising to slash the budget by $2 trillion;
  • How Trump and the Republicans, far from following the norms of a Constitution they claim to venerate, want to sidestep them at every opportunity;
  • And what conservatives are really concerned about, when they rail against transgender rights.

From a few days ago; it was already apparent.

Slate, Jim Newell, 20 Nov 2024: Republicans Should Probably Cool It With the “Mandate” Talk, subtitled “Trump’s popular vote win may not be what it seems.”

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This Much is Reality… and This Much is Fantasy

  • Silverberg on reality vs. fantasy;
  • It wasn’t a landslide, thus not a mandate;
  • OnlySky: why is fascism rising?
  • OnlySky: how knowledge endures or disappears.

Here’s a passage from a key science fiction story that addresses the nature of reality, in a metafictional way, that also addresses the dreams of science fiction versus the likely reality that most of those dreams will never come true. This is Robert Silverberg’s “Schwartz Between the Galaxies,” published in 1974, opening:

This much is reality: Schwartz sits comfortably cocooned — passive, suspended — in a first-class passenger rack aboard a Japan Air Lines rocket, nine kilometers above the Coral Sea. And this much is fantasy: the same Schwartz has passage on a shining starship gliding silkily through the interstellar depths, en route at nine times the velocity of light from Betelgeuse IX to Rigel XXI, or maybe from Andromeda to the Lesser Magellanic.

(Of course there’s an irony that even the “reality” of this passage, about passenger rockets arcing over the Earth faster than our current jet airliners, will also likely never happen.)

The story goes on:

There are no starships. Probably there never will be any. Here we are, a dozen decades after the flight of Apollo 11, and no human being goes anywhere except back and forth across the face of the little O, the Earth, for the planets are barren and the stars are beyond reach. …

Beginning in the 1960s and usually labeled the “New Wave,” a subset of science fiction began expressing doubts about the bright optimistic interstellar futures of earlier science fiction. Fantasy giving way to reality.

\\\

It wasn’t a landslide. Many votes come in late every year, and shift the initial outcome. It’s happened before, even as Trump rages about fraud and stolen elections.

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The Anticipation of Unintended Consequences

Many are predicting that the new administration’s plans, especially concerning deportations and tariffs, will backfire and wreck the economy, or at least raise prices in ways they apparently cannot anticipate. But one guesses that the Republicans will not admit it when it happens, and will frantically spin to put their results in the best possible light. Trump’s supporters will believe anything.

  • Republican voters, based on no change of evidence whatsoever, now think the economy isn’t so bad;
  • David Frum on what he got wrong: that human beings are good at seeing through frauds;
  • NPR and Paul Krugman on the consequences of expelling foreign scientists, the ones who have driven America’s dominance in science and technology;
  • And quick takes about sex offenders and trans women, Trump’s cabinet of sexual abuse offenders, and conservatives’ veneration of the founding fathers, even concerning public schools.
– – –

Washington Post, column by Philip Bump, 21 Nov 2024: Lots of Republicans suddenly think the economy wasn’t that bad after all, subtitled “Polling from YouGov shows a sharp shift in Republican opinions over the past month.” (via)

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Dispatches from the Real World

  • My latest take on the true vs the real;
  • A piece about RFK Jr identifies the three big reasons you’re alive today: clean water, antibiotics, and vaccines;
  • How we know RFK Jr is wrong about vaccines;
  • How red states lead in STI rates.

To begin, an update on the idea of the true vs. the real. I discussed this before, here. I don’t think that was quite right. Another try: Truth is relative; everyone has their personal truth. (Is mine the same as yours? implies they could not be.) Reality is what exists, despite varying perceptions and interpretations. It’s analogous to the idea of meaning and information, in Hidalgo, summarized here. Truth is a kind of meaning, and it’s relative, and contextual. Reality is verifiable through repeated tests and observations of the world. Truth is what religion and philosophy are about; reality is about what science is about. Ideally. And science fiction, as a form of literature, deals with the various truths of various kinds of people, and tries to see through and around them to suggest areas of reality we haven’t yet perceived. Roughly.

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