Changing the Subject

  • About last night’s Vice Presidential debate, and how Vance kept changing the subject;
  • How Vance’s contempt for climate change science belies his purported concern for children, and reflects this recent Cory Doctorow column about marshmallow longtermism;
  • How Vance’s conversion to a specific kind of Catholicism reveals his longing for a simpler, more structured past — in defiance of the classic liberal ideas of equality, personal liberty, and individual rights;
  • And a final thought about how conservatism in general is about trying to change the subject, from the present to the past.
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Last night was the Vice Presidential debate between JD Vance and Tim Walz. I thought it went well only in the sense that both men spoke fluently. I kept noticing the tendency by Vance to change the subject. He would be asked a question about, say, war in the middle east, and JD would say, It’s more important to talk about why Kamala Harris is responsible for all the spoiled food in your fridge, or something equally absurd. Kamala is to blame for everything, never mind she’s only vice president; whereas Trump for some reason isn’t responsible for all the things he promised (like the Wall) and didn’t get done *as president*. The most telling example of this, and the critical point of the debate, was this.

NY Times, Matt Flegenheimer: The Moment When Vance Dodged a Jan. 6 Question but Said Plenty, subtitled “JD Vance sailed fairly smoothly through some 90 minutes of Tuesday’s debate with Tim Walz. Then the subject turned to the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol.”

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Cynicism, Lies, Incompetence

  • Recalling Reagan and his cynicism about the government;
  • And lies about Hurricane Helene response, climate change, and about everything over one 24-hour period;
  • My anticipation of how long it will take for Trump fans to realize how incompetent and moronic he’s become, especially if he wins again; ever?
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Salon, Lucian K. Truscott IV: When natural disaster strikes, the legacy of Ronald Reagan haunts, subtitled “Reagan’s nine most ‘terrifying’ words in the English language: ‘I’m from the government, and I’m here to help'”

I’ve never understood the veneration of Ronald Reagan (either). In 2020, in this post, I copied a section of my journal from 1980 about seeing Reagan at a rally at Cal State Northridge. He confirmed my impression of him: a kindly old man who was not too bright yet who reassured his audience that what they felt was true (never mind what was actually true). He was an actor who wanted to play the president, and that’s what he did.

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Chemophobia

  • How Rachel Carson’s groundbreaking Silent Spring led to fixing the environment, but also led to an irrational fear of “chemicals” and then the anti-vax movement;
  • Short items about Vance and Wallnau, Trump’s threats of a violent purge of society, how Mark Robinson fits in to the Republican freak show, more Trump lies about criminal migrants, and another Republican taking credit for a bill he voted against.

Slate, Katie MacBride, 29 Sep 2024: This Book Helped Save the Planet—but Created a Very Harmful Myth, subtitled “It radically shifted the way the world looked at the environment, but created a wave of misinformation we’re still dealing with today.”

The unintended consequence of Rachel Carson’s SILENT SPRING was that uninformed or easily frightened people came to think that everything “chemical” is bad.

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Changing Minds

Today’s theme: a couple items that illustrate when and how people have changed their minds. Erwin Chemerinsky, and Malcolm Gladwell.

First, another piece about the new book by Erwin Chemerinsky (last discussed on 31 Aug), this time a review by the esteemed Louis Menand.

The New Yorker, Louis Menand, 23 Sep 2024: Is It Time to Torch the Constitution?, subtitled “Some scholars say that it’s to blame for our political dysfunction—and that we need to start over.”

What struck me most about this review were the opening paragraphs, which summarize matters that justify the Constitution and the government that has grown to enforce it. Here again, as I’ve been saying: the Constitution was an attempt to install lofty ideals to override instinctive tribal morality. Actually, as Menand explains, to override two opposing forces: mob rule, and the authoritarian threat.

All republican governments live in fear of the man on the white horse. Continue reading

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Three Weeks: Leaving My Life Up to Me

My partner Y left late last night (I had to drive him to SFO well past our usual bedtime) for a three-week trip to China. (Partly business, partly family.) We’ve been together some 23 years, and this will be the longest time he’s been away, leaving me alone in the house with the cats. I like being alone, but will never have been home alone in quite such circumstances ever before. So I’m wondering what I will do, or should do.

He’s been gone for a couple weeks at a time, several times. Including a couple times in the past decade, since I’d ‘retired’ from the job and spent time at home, even if some of the time I was working remotely as a contractor, not to mention continued incidental support for Locus every week. His trips earlier than that, one 17 days, weren’t quite the same, because I still had work to go to every day.

So now I will be alone for three weeks, without having to go to work, or do much of anything. Continue reading

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The Real Trump Mystery, and My Explanation

  • Thomas B. Edsall on The Real Trump Mystery, and how base human nature explains this;
  • Fareed Zakaria on how Trump’s economic ideas would stunt growth and spur inflation;
  • Because Trump doesn’t understand money;
  • Short items about Roseanne Barr accusing Democrats of eating babies; how Mike Johnson claims that God endorses Trump… this time; how Elon Musk and others are fighting to restore old sexual hierarchies; how JD Vance once told the truth, about Trump; and how it’s up to us, not God, to fight disease and war.

NY Times, Thomas B. Edsall, 25 Sep 2024: The Real Trump Mystery

The mystery of 2024: How is it possible that Donald Trump has a reasonable chance of winning the presidency despite all that voters now know about him? Why hasn’t a decisive majority risen to deny a second term to a man in line to be judged the worst president in American history?

Another Edsall collection of quotes and links from many sources. Subjects include conspiracy-theorists, denials of truth, some who need to unleash chaos, and so on.

My big picture take: Continue reading

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Reality v Tribal Solidarity

  • How Fox News denies reality, because that’s what their fans want to hear;
  • NYT on Trump and the condemnations by those who’ve known him;
  • How Trump’s promise to round up immigrants echoes what Putin is doing;
  • Adam Lee on historical morality and what the future will bring.

Tribal solidarity trumps acknowledgement of the real world, and I’ve often pointed out — especially if acknowledging that reality would give credit to the ‘other’ tribe.

Media Matters, Zachary Pleat: Fox is in denial of reality just weeks before the election, subtitled “Fox personalities have rejected data showing a reduction in violent crime, record energy production, plummeting inflation, and fewer unauthorized border crossings”

In recent weeks, multiple Fox personalities have been in denial of objective reality that under the Biden-Harris administration, especially in recent months, violent crime has declined, inflation is steadily declining, oil and natural gas production are at record highs, and unauthorized border crossings have plummeted.

With a dozen specific citations grouped under these headings:

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Reality v Fear

If there’s a core lesson to take away from the studies of psychological biases over the past two or three decades, it is this: our minds evolved for survival, not for accurate perception of the real world. We are primed for tribal conflict; we are primed to exaggerate our sense of threats; we see the world around us as full of threats and, via selective memory, think the past was somehow better than the present, by remembering the good (compared to the dangerous present) and forgetting the bad. And it is very difficult to think rationally, to draw accurate conclusions from actual evidence. Conclusions from actual evidence are, in the survival scheme of the world, almost useless. But they’re useful if you’re trying to understand the actual world.

These biases linger, instantiated over millions of years, even as the human condition has improved immeasurably in recent decades and centuries — because of science and technology (and not mysticism or religion). Yet we’re still stuck with people who think the present is worse than the past. And the only explanation they offer is: my tribe used to be dominant, and now I feel threatened that it’s not. They have no other measure of progress, or its decline.

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Yesterday President Biden gave speech before the United Nations. Here’s a report by NY Times, and a gloss by Slate, and a take by Heather Cox Richardson.

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Francis Collins on Facts (!)

  • Francis Collins on how facts don’t care how you feel;
  • Short pieces on Trump and golf; how brain damage is linked to religious fundamentalism; how Carlson and Vance are smart guys who play dumb; about Trump’s Truth Social posts; how Vance attacks the media for exposing his lies; how Trump’s rhetoric really does compare to Hitler’s; and how attacks against Harris’s Arizona office again reveal which side is prone to violence.

The main item today is remarkable because it’s a defense of facts by a scientist who famously converted to Christianity on the basis of seeing a waterfall that split into three parts. (See Wikipedia.) On those grounds alone, I would hesitate to trust anything he has to say about facts and feelings. (At the same time, a significant minority of scientists claim religious faith; they’re examples of how humans deal with cognitive dissonance.) Let’s give the piece a look.

NY Times, guest essay by Francis Collins, 20 Sep 24: Take It From a Scientist. Facts Matter, and They Don’t Care How You Feel. [gift link]

I am a physician and a scientist. Over 12 years, I had the privilege of serving Presidents Barack Obama, Donald Trump and Joe Biden as the director of the National Institutes of Health. Before that, I led the U.S. component of the Human Genome Project.

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Utopias, Dystopias, and Tribalism

  • Follow-up to yesterday’s topic about utopias and dystopias, and Star Trek;
  • How Trump and Vance have no idea about the reasons for Obamacare;
  • Robert Reich on how Trump appeals to base hatefulness;
  • Charles M. Blow on Trump’s bigger agenda;
  • And David Lay Williams appeals to Rousseau to explain Trump.

A follow-on to yesterday’s topic. About those dreams of utopias. At the risk yet again of oversimplifying a vast literature on no doubt complex and subtle themes, very roughly one might align utopias with democracies, egalitarianism, justice, and being ‘woke’; and dystopias with tribal values and demonization of other ‘tribes’ and being ‘anti-woke’. It all boils down to different psychological takes on how the world should be. That range will likely never change. (And in ways we can only dimly imagine, such diversity could well be beneficial for the long-term survival of the species.)

Star Trek, at its beginning, was a kind of utopia. Gene Roddenberry, the show’s creator, explicitly laid out a premise in which the ancient conflicts of the past (meaning the 20th century) had been overcome, and peace and understanding (this was the ’60s) ruled over all, even among some of the alien civilizations the Enterprise encountered. From the beginning writers complained that lack of conflict between characters made stories difficult to write. And over the decades, as the movies were made and subsequent TV series were produced, Roddenberry’s vision got pretty watered down. Even today, you see references to this or that episode in one of the series as one that “Gene Roddenberry would have hated.” Well, that’s narrative drift for you. The same thing happens in every franchise. Thus the sympathetic creature created by Dr. Frankenstein became a rote monster in virtually all the movies and sequels. And so on. Another topic.

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Now to cover a batch of the past few days’ media links.

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