Distrust of Science and of Public Schools

  • Thomas B. Edsall on the roots of MAGA’s distrust of science;
  • Hemant Mehta on evangelicals and public schools.

NY Times, guest essay by Thomas B. Edsall, 11 Sep 2024: MAGA vs. Science Is No Contest [Gift Link]

I’ve mentioned before that Edsall’s occasional columns are rather like my blog posts, in that they link and quote from a variety of different sources to illuminate a particular theme from various angles. This column is about conservative, in particular MAGA, antipathy toward science. Well, we know what. Can we extract any general principles? Rather that quote his quotes I’ll just bullet point the key ideas that jump out at me.

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Regression Toward the Tribal

Let’s see now. Here we are in the 21st century. In the past 500 years humankind has shown remarkable progress on two parallel fronts. Along governance: no longer was the divine right of kings (or tribal leaders) recognized; rather, principles of self-governance were developed, notably in the United States Constitution in which, supposedly, all men were “equal” at least before the law and as voting citizens. Along matters of science and understanding reality: no longer was authority on such matters granted to holy books and their spokesmen; rather consensus on reality was granted to the evidence of the world around us, along with a healthy system of self-criticism, so that errors in understanding would eventually be recognized and corrected.

Why is that “progress”? Because these systems enabled the human population of the world, as it expanded so that no one tribe (city/nation) could exist apart from all the others, to get along with one another, and agree upon a consensus reality.

And yet now, in parts of the US at least, they have apparently stopped working, and we’re beginning to see the consequences. In the US, a large portion of the population rejects democracy, and rejects science. Where will this lead us?

This week’s issue about Haitian immigrants in Springfield Ohio supposedly eating pet cats and dogs is utterly absurd and trivial, on its surface, and yet the more it endures in the daily news cycle, the more it represents the breakdown of the consensus reality that has enabled the United States, and the modern world in both the West and elsewhere, to endure and become powerful. I’ve wondered before if it’s possible for society and its technology to depend on a minority who do understand science and technology, even as most of the rest of the population disbelieves in it while nevertheless depending on it.

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The story about Haitians eating pets derived from a single Facebook post based on third- and fourth-hand reports. This is a classic lesson in understanding why not to believe anything based on secondary reports.

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Fear vs. Hope

  • An essay about “contrasting views of reality” by the American right and the left;
  • Short items about MAGA and pets; Republicans and raunch; Laura Loomer; Buttigieg explains Trump; Lance Wallnau blames witchcraft; and Trump’s new big lie about crime;
  • And how Fox News keeps the MAGA faithful in a state of blissful ignorance.

Let’s take a look at another big picture essay, looking beyond current politics to the big ways people think about the world. I’ve captured some ideas about this already, in that table of moral polarities, which I recently suggested might be characterized as being more broadly about Human Nature, Morality, and Politics. From Haidt, we know of dueling grand narratives: the struggle to return to a golden past, on the right; the struggle for equality and happiness, on the left. This piece seems to be aligned the same way. (And where do most science fiction writers and readers lie…? One guess.)

NY Times, Peter Baker, 11 Sep 2024: Harris and Trump Bet on Their Own Sharply Contrasting Views of America, subtitled “Former President Donald J. Trump is gambling that Americans are as angry as he is, while Vice President Kamala Harris hopes voters are exhausted by the Trump era and ready to move on.” [gift link]

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The Debate, Politics, and Science

  • How Kamala Harris defended fracking and did not properly address climate change;
  • How nothing about science came up in the debate;
  • Short items: How MAGA will fall for anything; how Trumps confessed he’s unprepared; how the GOP has become the party of racist memes; how voodoo is real; how MAGA doesn’t acknowledge that Trump sucks; how Fox is more concerned about “vibes” rather than actual falling crime rates; and another lie about Usher endorsing Harris.

In the fallout from the Harris/Trump debate the other night, a couple substantial items came up today. And there’s also another batch of dispatches from crazy-land.

Salon, Matthew Rozsa, 12 Sep 2024: Harris may have “won” the debate, but Americans “lost on fracking,” climate experts say, subtitled “Climate change scientists reacting to the Harris-Trump debate say we can’t keep propping up fossil fuels”

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Easily Baited

Last night’s debate between Trump and Harris was certainly more entertaining than the debate a couple months ago between Trump and Biden.

NY Times, Opinion, 11 Sep 2024: ‘Trump Brought Darkness; Harris Brought Light’: 14 Writers on Who Won the Presidential Debate [gift link]

Here’s a grid showing where the 14 writers came down on who won and whether the debate was inspiring.

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Lies Absurd, and Telling

  • The latest absurd Republican lie is about cat-eating Haitians, and they don’t care whether it’s true or not, they know it will rile up their base;
  • A Republican suggests that the Great Depression was planned;
  • An article that quotes Republican politicians about Trump, then and now, reveals cognitive dissonance.

Today’s Republican lie is surely one of the most absurd yet.

Vox, Ian Millhiser, 9 Sep 2024: JD Vance’s racist, cat-eating conspiracy theory, explained as best we can, subtitled “Apparently, when you are a Republican political candidate you can say literally anything.”

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About Bureaucracy and the Real World

  • How bureaucracy is evidence of the complexity of the real world, and the only way to solve global problems;
  • Notes from the fringe: How Tennessee prevents people voting; Trump’s niece on Trump’s dementia; USA Today about covering Trump’s dementia; Candace Owens is preoccupied with homosexuals; and Anderson Cooper challenges Trump’s claims.

Salon, Matthew Rozsa, 6 Sep 2024: Bureaucracy is despised for inefficiency and waste. But it might just save us from climate change, subtitled “Despite attacks on bureaucracies, experts agree such organizations are more important than ever”

My take, before reading this: If you have no idea what all those people are doing, it’s easy to think they’re inefficient and wasting their time and our money. But the real world is always more complex than most people think. And the inevitability of bureaucracies is the evidence.

Government bureaucrats are often depicted as wasteful and inefficient bleeding hearts with secret, sinister and sometimes “socialist” agendas. Former president Ronald Reagan famously denounced bureaucrats throughout his political career — and, four decades later, Donald Trump and his acolytes did so in their own way by decrying a supposed “Deep State.”

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How Beliefs Prevail over Evidence and Reality

  • Democrats have fixed the economy, but many people don’t “believe” it;
  • CBS News’ Ted Koppel visits a Wisconsin State Fair;
  • The crowd cheers Trump’s latest word salad;
  • How conservatives actually hate American values;
  • And how the mainstream press in America is failing — by not calling out Trump.

Washington Post, Fareed Zakaria [whose book I quite liked], 6 Sep 2024: Opinion | Democrats have fixed the economy. But that won’t be enough to defeat populism., subtitled “Without addressing immigration, Trump-style populism is likely here to stay.”

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Cheating and Lying

To me, all of these undermine the Conservative project as a legitimate intellectual discourse.

  • How new local news sources are not what they appear to be; Epoch Times; my rule of thumb about reliable news sources;
  • How the Heritage Foundation is spreading deceptive videos;
  • How YouTubers are easy to dupe;
  • How right-wing social media stars are unwitting mouthpieces of Russian propaganda;
  • How Trump uses the Gish Gallop;
  • How Republicans are fine with election intimidation, in Florida.

If there are no rational arguments for your side of a political issue, what do you do? And if you did have rational arguments, why would you do these things? (Let me guess: because the people don’t realize what danger they’re in, and must be roused into action by a little exaggeration… by the people who Know Better.)

The first item two days ago in this post would be our first example.

Then this:

NY Times, 4 Sep 2024: Iran Emerges as a Top Disinformation Threat in U.S. Presidential Race, subtitled “With a flurry of hacks and fake websites, Iran has intensified its efforts to discredit American democracy and possibly tip the race against former President Donald Trump.”

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Plot Armor

Beginning with this unusual topic. Not about Trump per se; more a general principle of story-telling. And faith.

OnlySky, Dale McGowan, 6 Sep 2024: For the Trump faithful, it comes down to plot armor, subtitled “It’s no surprise that Trump benefits from a feature you’ve seen on bad television.”

Did a brief skim; this seems to be related to the kind of plot device on TV where you know the heroes will survive because they have to be back for next week’s episode.

The writer begins by recalling comments from way back in 2004 from a Bush aide who contrasted the “reality-based community” with their own take: “That’s not the way the world really works anymore. We’re an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality.”

It was a simpler time. We thought we had reached our presidential nadir. The reaction from those of us in the reality-based community (RBC) to the statement by the aide—now believed to have been Karl Rove—was utter disbelief that such gibberish could emanate from the White House.

Like I said, a simpler time.

Then came Kellyanne Conway’s “alternative facts” and everything since.  Continue reading

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